Азиатские тигры (igor_tiger) wrote,
Азиатские тигры

Запад о протестах в России

Западные СМИ пытаются изобразить именно "антипутинскую" направленность российских протестов. В основном, на это напирают американская пресса.
В целом, ряд публикаций интересен.  
The Wall Street Journal: Protests Swell Across Russia

The Washington Post: Putin’s canny politics in Russian elections
....The results of Sunday’s elections fit his decade-long project of expanding his (Putin) personal power by destabilizing institutions and ensuring that the country’s elites don’t threaten his role as supreme arbiter. From his vantage, United Russia’s loss is canny politics as well as good public relations.
The Washington Post: Thousands of protesters in Russia demand fair elections

The New York Times: Rally Defying Putin’s Party Draws Tens of Thousands

The New York Times: Rousing Russia With a Phrase

The Financial Post: Street protests challenging Putin's façade
....If the "Russian Revolution 2.0" gains steam, there could be a dramatic impact on the world economy, oil prices, China and on the tug-of-war with Western Europe over Ukraine.
In January, Russia closed in on Saudi Arabia as the world's biggest oil producer by hitting 10.5 million barrels a day. By 2020, production could reach 15 million barrels daily.
Russia has become the world's fourth-largest economy (on a purchase-power parity basis), but the wealth has mostly flowed into the hands of oligarchs and corrupt government officials. Officially, the Kremlin has $580-billion in cash reserves, the lowest among the G20, or a mere 18% of its GDP.
Political instability in Russia would drive oil prices upward.
China's leadership would also be affected because their officials, eager to tap into Russia's oil, natural gas and electricity exports, have cast their lot with Mr. Putin in a very public way.
Beijing awarded this year's Confucius Peace Prize to Mr. Putin because he went to war in Chechnya in 1999. Here was what the "judges" said: "His iron hand and toughness revealed in this war impressed the Russians a lot, and he was regarded to be capable of bringing safety and stability to Russia. He became the anti-terrorist No. 1 and the national hero."
It was a bizarre, Potemkin-like pronouncement designed to curry favour with Russia, which is now shipping oil to China.
Likewise, the battle to capture Ukraine will depend a great deal on whether Mr. Putin - who wants to rebuild the Soviet Union - is seriously bruised by these developments or not. I believe he has been, which will encourage Ukrainians to opt for the West rather than for a more robust Russia under Mr. Putin.
The euro negotiations are critical, but so are Russia's politics. Much depends on whether Russian activists are able to convince tens of thousands of protesters to fill streets this weekend. If not, it will be a Potemkin presidency. If they do, all bets are off on oil prices, Russia's leadership, Chinese stability and Ukraine's decision as to join West or East.
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