Азиатские тигры (igor_tiger) wrote,
Азиатские тигры

Турция-Иран: конец отношений

Кэтрин Эштон (ЕС): Переговорный процесс внутри "шестерки" международных посредников по Ирану может возобновиться в ближайшие несколько недель, если Тегеран будет готов "серьезно участвовать в осмысленных дискуссиях" по своей ядерной программе (в письме к иранскому руководству, которое цитирует агентство Рейтер).

Сергей Лавров (РФ): Переговорный процесс внутри "шестерки" международных посредников по Ирану в настоящее время застопорился, но Россия старается наладить его (в эфире радиостанций "Голос России", "Радио России" и "Эхо Москвы" в ходе интерактивного общения с радиослушателями).

Свободная Европа: Турция и Иран: конец отношений

"....Tehran has reacted with anger and threats over Ankara's decision to allow NATO to deploy a radar as part of its antimissile system. Iran's supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, has condemned the decision, while senior Iranian military commanders and government officials have warned of consequences.
"This is very serious, this is important for Iran, Iran does not like it," says Iran analyst Jamsid Assadi of France's Burgundy School of Business. "Iran is feeling very much more isolated and in danger. And if for example when I read Iranian press, especially the very conservative ones, they criticize very clearly what's happening...."
"Turkey was the biggest factor helping and assisting the Iranian regime to survive [sanctions]," claims Iran expert Mehrdad Emadi of the British-based consultancy firm Betamatrix. "Actually, Turkey is the key player. Turkey is facilitating  and accommodating the regime in Tehran on so many levels. We know of at least 11 cases where Turkish banks and firms, Turkish shipping companies, on behalf of the regime in Tehran have been acquiring commodities and technologies that Iran needs."
But Iran's increasing economic and financial dependence on Turkey means Tehran has limited scope to maneuver against the growing diplomatic threat Ankara now poses, Assadi believes. "Iran is isolated," he says. "Iran needs Turkey much more than they need Iran, and the Iranian press are going to criticize Turkey. However, they are going to accept whatever Turkey says. They don't have any option."
But the price for Ankara of that leverage over Tehran is growing criticism from its Western allies, in particular the United States. Turkish Foreign Minister Ahmet Davutoglu last weekend said U.S. President Barack Obama and Erdogan recently clashed over Turkey's economic relations with Iran. According to former diplomat Ulgen, Ankara's Western allies, like Iran, have to understand they are now dealing with a new Turkey.
"This transformation from almost a compliant member of the Western community to an assertive, ambitious regional power is what we are seeing today," Ulgen says. "And this has both a soft-power dimension but it also has a hard power dimension. Therefore the two sides -- being NATO partners and strategic allies -- have to find ways to accommodate these aspirations and new assertiveness that Turkey has in its foreign policy. So yes, Turkey is going to be an uneasy partner, but it will remain a partner."

Tags: Иран, Турция
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